Updated as of August 2026
Tracking President Trump's Promises to the American People
These are the 38 core promises of Donald Trump's 2024 campaign: the commitments he ran on hardest, that voters understood they were choosing. Every one is graded below.
- Core promises
- 38
- Issue areas
- 7
The Scorecard
42%
kept in full: 16 of 38 tracked promises.
13%
still in progress: 5 of 38.
16%
not delivered at all: 6 of 38.
The rest sit in between: 8 were watered down, and 3 were stopped in court.
This is as of August 2026, 19 months into President Trump's second term.
Every promise, sized by verdict. Select a band to filter the list below.
38 of 38
Border & Immigration
8- Promise Kept
Border & Immigration
Seal the southern border and shut down the Biden-era crossing surge
What he said
“On day one, I will seal the border.”
Video: "On day one I will seal the border and stop the invasion" (2024 campaign)
2024 Republican Party Platform, promise 1: "SEAL THE BORDER, AND STOP THE MIGRANT INVASION" (July 2024)
What has happened · as of August 2026
Within months of Trump's inauguration, southwest border encounters fell to their lowest sustained level in decades. Three things drove it: a national emergency declared on January 20, 2025, his first day in office, an order shutting off asylum claims for anyone crossing between ports of entry, and active-duty troops sent to the border.
SourcesDHS: 14 straight months of zero releases at the borderCBP Nationwide Encounters dataCBP Southwest Land Border Encounters
- In Progress
Border & Immigration
Carry out the largest deportation operation in American history
What he said
“To keep our families safe, the Republican platform promises to launch the largest deportation operation in the history of our country.”
Fox News: "the largest mass deportation in the history of our country" (2024 campaign)
2024 Republican Party Platform, promise 2: "CARRY OUT THE LARGEST DEPORTATION OPERATION IN AMERICAN HISTORY" (July 2024)
What has happened · as of August 2026
ICE is detaining people at several times the old rate. The agency booked roughly 300 people a day into detention in the months before the inauguration and 1,053 a day by June 2025, close to 600,000 book-ins in the eighteen months from January 20, 2025 to mid-July 2026. It holds about 65,000 people on an average day now, against roughly 39,000 the day he took office. Deportations track the same curve: 234,211 people removed between January 26 and September 20, 2025, and another 356,389 between October 1 and July 21, 2026, about 591,000 in all. DHS puts the number higher, 622,000 by December 2025 plus 1.9 million it says left on their own, because it folds in border turnbacks and an estimate of self-deportations that nobody counts one by one.
Obama is the benchmark, and the word largest is the whole question. Border Patrol caught about 3.3 million people crossing the southwest border during his eight years and his administration deported about 3.1 million of them, with a record 438,421 in 2013, his peak year. Trump is running at 1,212 removals a day, which puts this year near 442,000. That edges past Obama's best single year and comes nowhere near his eight-year total. He is also doing it with the border almost shut, so the people going out are found in the interior rather than picked up at the line, which is slower work. Kept in substance, not yet in the superlative he used.
SourcesCBS News: "the largest deportation operation in the history of our country" (RNC, July 2024)ABC News: ICE says over 350,000 removed so far this year (July 2026)TRAC: Trump administration record on detention and removalsICE Enforcement and Removal Statistics
- Promise Kept
Border & Immigration
Reinstate Remain in Mexico and end catch-and-release
What he said
“We will reinstate my “Remain in Mexico” policy.”
Video: "We will reinstate my 'Remain in Mexico' policy" (2024 campaign)
What has happened · as of August 2026
Biden ended Remain in Mexico, announcing it in 2021 and finishing the job in 2022 once the Supreme Court cleared the way, and went back to releasing asylum seekers into the country with a court date years out. Trump reversed both by executive action in his first days back. People who cross the southern border seeking asylum are again sent to Mexico to wait for their immigration hearings.
SourcesDHS: reinstating the Migrant Protection ProtocolsAmerican Immigration Council: what the Migrant Protection Protocols areDHS press releases
- Blocked
Border & Immigration
End automatic birthright citizenship for children of illegal aliens
What he said
“On Day One of my new term in office, I will sign an executive order making clear to federal agencies that, under the correct interpretation of the law, going forward the future children of illegal aliens will not receive automatic U.S. citizenship.”
NBC News: Trump's day-one order to end birthright citizenship (May 30, 2023)
Agenda47: "Day One Executive Order Ending Citizenship for Children of Illegals and Outlawing Birth Tourism" (2023 campaign)
What has happened · as of August 2026
President Trump signed an order ending birthright citizenship on January 20, 2025, as promised. Federal judges blocked it within days and on June 30, 2026 the Supreme Court struck it down 6 to 3, ruling that the Fourteenth Amendment grants citizenship to nearly everyone born on American soil and that a president cannot change that with an order.
He did what he said he would do and the courts stopped him. Ending birthright citizenship now takes a constitutional amendment: two thirds of both chambers of Congress and three quarters of the states.
SourcesSCOTUSblog: Court strikes down birthright citizenship orderNPR: Ruling on constitutional grounds
- In Progress
Border & Immigration
Finish the border wall
What he said
“I will end the illegal immigration crisis by closing our border and finishing the wall, most of which I've already built.”
Video: Trump vows to complete the border wall, RNC Night 4 (July 18, 2024)
Fox: full transcript of the 2024 RNC acceptance speech (July 18, 2024)
2024 Republican Party Platform: "We will complete the Border Wall" (July 2024)
What has happened · as of August 2026
Trump declared a national emergency at the southern border on January 20, 2025 and put the Department of Homeland Security and the Pentagon to work on new barrier, with contracts and land waivers following. Roughly 80 miles have gone up. The southern border runs about 1,950 miles. At the pace so far, finishing it is the work of several more years, so the promise is underway rather than done.
SourcesPolitiFact: projects adding over 80 miles of new barrierTIME: what is the status of Trump's border wallCBP border infrastructure updates
- Promise Kept
Border & Immigration
Restore and expand the travel ban on high-risk countries
What he said
“We will seal our border and bring back the travel ban.”
TIME: "we will seal our border and bring back the travel ban" (Sept. 20, 2024)
2024 Republican Party Platform: "We will bring back the Travel Ban" (July 2024)
What has happened · as of August 2026
Trump's campaign pledge was to "bring back the travel ban" and to bar refugee resettlement from Gaza. The first proclamation, signed June 4, 2025, covered 19 countries against seven in his first term: twelve under a full suspension of immigrant and non-immigrant visas, seven under partial restrictions.
A second proclamation, signed December 16, 2025 and effective January 1, 2026, took it to 39 countries, 19 fully suspended and 20 partial. It also extended the full ban to anyone travelling on a Palestinian Authority travel document, which is how the Gaza half of the pledge was carried out.
SourcesCongressional Research Service: the expanded travel ban effective January 1, 2026American Immigration Council: who the 2025 travel ban affectsFredrikson & Byron: the December 2025 proclamation, full and partial lists in fullPresidential Actions
- Blocked
Border & Immigration
Cut federal funding to sanctuary cities and states
What he said
“We will not make any payments to sanctuary cities or states having cities, because they do everything possible to protect criminals at the expense of American citizens.”
Yahoo News: Trump vows to withhold federal funds from sanctuary cities and states (Jan. 13, 2025 (transition))
Axios: the April 2025 order targeting sanctuary jurisdictions (Apr. 29, 2025)
What has happened · as of August 2026
Trump signed a day-one order directing the Attorney General and the Department of Homeland Security to cut sanctuary jurisdictions off from federal money, and followed it on April 28, 2025 with Executive Order 14287, which required a published list of non-cooperating jurisdictions and eligibility checks to keep people in the country illegally from collecting federal benefits.
The funding cutoff itself did not survive. Judge William Orrick blocked it on April 24, 2025, holding that ordering agencies to withhold or condition money Congress had already appropriated violates the separation of powers and the Spending Clause, that parts of the order were unconstitutionally vague, and that it violated the Tenth Amendment by trying to force local officials to enforce federal immigration law. When the April 28 order arrived four days later with the same threat, Orrick ruled on May 9 that a new order could not be used as an end run around the injunction.
The Ninth Circuit has sat on the appeal. Justice Department lawyers argued to lift the injunction before a panel in December 2025 and, eight months later, no ruling has come down. The injunction stands, the money is still going out, and in January 2026 Orrick threw out the government's motion to dismiss the case. The same appeals court struck down the first-term version of this order in 2018 on the same separation-of-powers ground, which is the precedent the panel would have to work around.
SourcesJustice Department: the published list of sanctuary jurisdictionsNBC News: judge blocks the bid to halt federal funding to sanctuary citiesNPR: the executive order and the courts' skepticismNational Constitution Center: sanctuary jurisdictions return to the courtsILRC: docket for San Francisco v. Trump, injunction still in force pending appeal
- Promise Kept
Border & Immigration
Suspend refugee resettlement and cut admissions
What he said
“On Day One of the Trump Presidency, I will suspend refugee admissions, stop the resettlement, and keep the terrorists the hell out of our country.”
Fox News: "suspend refugee resettlement", quoting his post in full (Sept. 16, 2024)
CBS News: Trump's 2024 immigration plan, including suspending refugee admissions and ideological screening (2024 campaign)
What has happened · as of August 2026
President Trump suspended the refugee admissions program by executive order on January 20, 2025, his first day in office. A district judge blocked the suspension in February 2025, but the Ninth Circuit overturned that part of the ruling on March 5, 2026, so the freeze on new refugee processing stands. The court did require the government to keep paying for resettlement help already owed to refugees who had arrived. He set this year's refugee cap at 7,500 people, the lowest since the program began in 1980.
SourcesPacito v. Trump: Ninth Circuit opinionWRAPS: refugee admissions and arrivals dataIRC: administration suspends refugee resettlement
Economy & Taxes
6- Promise Kept
Economy & Taxes
Make the Trump tax cuts permanent and stop the largest tax hike in history
What he said
“The fifth pillar of my plan is to make the Trump tax cuts permanent. They are massive tax cuts, the biggest ever, permanent.”
C-SPAN: Trump vows to make the 2017 tax cuts permanent (Sept. 5, 2024)
CNBC: for months he said he would make the expiring 2017 provisions permanent (2024 campaign)
What has happened · as of August 2026
The 2025 budget law made the expiring individual rates and the larger standard deduction permanent, and let businesses write off equipment purchases in full in the year they buy them. The Congressional Budget Office puts the cost at roughly $4.6 trillion in added debt over a decade.
SourcesEconomic Club of New York: full transcript of the September 5, 2024 addressWays and Means: hearing on making the Trump tax cuts permanentIRS: One Big Beautiful Bill provisions (Public Law 119-21)
- Watered Down
Economy & Taxes
No tax on tips
What he said
“We are going to not charge taxes on tips.”
CNN: Las Vegas rally: "we are going to not charge taxes on tips" (June 9, 2024)
2024 Republican Party Platform, promise 6: "LARGE TAX CUTS FOR WORKERS, AND NO TAX ON TIPS!" (July 2024)
What has happened · as of August 2026
The relief passed in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act as a deduction. Up to $25,000 of tip income comes off one's taxable income. Tips are still income and still taxed above the cap.
Here is what that is worth in a paycheck. Take a server on $80,000 a year with $30,000 of it in tips, filing single. Under the 2025 brackets they owed about $9,000 in federal income tax. The deduction takes $25,000 off their taxable income and the bill falls to about $4,500. That is roughly $4,600 they keep, just under $400 a month, on the same wages as before. For a working family that is a car payment.
Two things keep it short of the promise. The cap is $25,000, so the last $5,000 of tips in this example is still taxed. And this is an income tax deduction only: Social Security and Medicare tax, 7.65%, still comes out of every tipped dollar. It also expires after 2028 unless Congress renews it.
SourcesFederal Register: final rules defining qualified tips and the tipped occupations listCato Institute: the new income tax deductions for tips and overtimeIRS: how to take advantage of no tax on tips and overtime
- Watered Down
Economy & Taxes
No tax on overtime pay
What he said
“As part of our additional tax cuts, we will end all taxes on overtime.”
ABC News: Tucson rally: "we will end all taxes on overtime" (Sept. 12, 2024)
Axios: Trump pledges to eliminate taxes on overtime pay (Sept. 13, 2024)
What has happened · as of August 2026
The pledge was to end "all taxes" on overtime, which would cover income and payroll tax. What passed covers only the premium half of time-and-a-half, caps the deduction at $12,500 (or $25,000 filing jointly), phases out above $150,000 of income, and expires after 2028. Payroll tax still applies to all of it.
Here is what that is worth. Take someone on $80,000 a year working five hours of overtime a week. That is about $38.50 an hour, so time-and-a-half pays $57.70 and a year of it comes to roughly $15,000. The deduction only covers the premium half, the extra $19.20 an hour, which is about $5,000. In the 22% bracket that is around $1,100 back, close to $90 a month, or about a week of groceries.
The deduction is also a long way from ending all taxes on overtime. Two thirds of that $15,000 is still taxed, payroll tax applies to every dollar of it, and the deduction expires after 2028.
SourcesCNBC: IRS clarifies the no-tax-on-overtime deduction rulesCato Institute: the new income tax deductions for tips and overtimeIRS: how to take advantage of no tax on tips and overtime
- Watered Down
Economy & Taxes
No tax on Social Security benefits for seniors
What he said
“SENIORS SHOULD NOT PAY TAX ON SOCIAL SECURITY!”
Washington Times: "SENIORS SHOULD NOT PAY TAX ON SOCIAL SECURITY!" (July 31, 2024)
CRFB: Trump's suggestion to end taxation of Social Security benefits (July 31, 2024)
What has happened · as of August 2026
Seniors 65 and over received a temporary $6,000 enhanced deduction, $12,000 for a married couple where both qualify, running 2025-2028. It phases out above $75,000 of income, $150,000 filing jointly. The law made no change to how Social Security benefits are taxed.
Here is what that is worth. Take a retired couple, both over 65, on $60,000 a year with $40,000 of it in Social Security. In the 12% bracket the extra $12,000 of deduction is about $1,440 off the tax bill, roughly $120 a month. The Council of Economic Advisers put it as 88% of beneficiaries owing no federal tax on their benefits, which is close to the headline he ran on.
Two things keep it short of the promise. Benefits themselves are still taxable, so a retiree with enough other income still pays on them, and the relief runs out after 2028. And it is keyed to age rather than to Social Security: beneficiaries under 65, including survivors, dependents, and disabled workers, get nothing from it.
SourcesIRS: One Big Beautiful Bill provisions for individuals and workersSSA benefit taxation rules
- Not Delivered
Economy & Taxes
Bring down prices starting on day one
What he said
“Starting on day one, we will end inflation and make America affordable again.”
CNN: Trump pledged to bring down food prices on day one (Aug. 9, 2024)
2024 Republican Party Platform, promise 3: "END INFLATION, AND MAKE AMERICA AFFORDABLE AGAIN" (July 2024)
What has happened · as of August 2026
Consumer prices have not fallen since Trump took office. They are up 4.3% overall between January 2025 and June 2026. Groceries are up 3.4%, with coffee up 35%, ground beef 23%, and steak 21%. Gasoline is up 34%, fuel oil 24%, natural gas 12%, and electricity 8%. Eggs, bacon, and bread cost less than at inauguration. Almost nothing else does. Estimates put the added cost at about $2,120 a household in 2025, and about $950 for the bottom fifth of earners, more than 5% of their income.
Two different numbers both get called inflation, and they answer different questions. The inflation rate measures how fast prices are climbing right now, against the same month a year earlier. The price level measures how much they have climbed in total, and stayed climbed. A falling inflation rate does not bring prices down. It means they are rising more slowly than before. Prices only fall when the rate drops below zero, which has not happened in either term.
Trump wins on the rate and is stuck with the level Biden left. Biden's rate peaked at 9.1% in June 2022, the fastest since 1981. Trump's was 3.4% in July 2026, with core inflation, which strips out food and fuel, at 2.5%. On the level, Biden's four years raised prices 21.4%, and none of that came back. Trump's 4.3% stacks on top of it, so a shopper now pays about 27% more than in January 2021. Over the same stretch of Biden's term prices rose 10.5%, so Trump is running at well under half that pace. He promised to bring prices down on day one, not to raise them more slowly.
SourcesBLS Consumer Price Index Summary, July 2026FactCheck.org: Biden's final numbers (21.4% cumulative CPI, Jan. 2021 to Jan. 2025)Texas A&M PERC: inflation, real wages, and unemployment through February 2026CNBC: July 2026 CPI reportCNN fact check: eggs are cheaper, "everything else" is notPolitiFact: Trump said prices are "all coming down now." They aren't. (Aug. 2026)
- Promise Kept
Economy & Taxes
Protect Social Security and Medicare with no cuts
What he said
“I will not lay a finger on Medicare or Social Security.”
Scripps News: Trump vows not to cut Social Security or Medicare (2024 campaign)
What has happened · as of August 2026
Benefit checks were not cut. Nobody on Social Security or Medicare is receiving less money than they were, and no legislation reducing benefit levels has passed. On the promise as most voters heard it, President Trump kept his word.
Two things did change. The administration cut funding and staffing at the Social Security Administration starting in February 2025, which does not touch benefit amounts but does make the agency slower to reach. And the 2025 budget law ended Medicare eligibility for certain lawfully present immigrants, which is a cut for the people in that group even though it leaves everyone else untouched.
SourcesPolitiFact: no direct Social Security or Medicare benefit cuts under TrumpSocial Security AdministrationCongressional Budget Office: budget and program topics
Trade
4- Watered Down
Trade
Impose reciprocal tariffs and a 10-20% baseline tariff on foreign goods
What he said
“Whatever countries charge the United States, we will charge them.”
Agenda47: "Cementing Fair and Reciprocal Trade with the Trump Reciprocal Trade Act" (2023 campaign)
CRFB: Trump's universal baseline tariff proposal (10-20%) (2024 campaign)
What has happened · as of August 2026
Both halves of the pledge took effect in April 2025: a 10% universal baseline at the low end of the promised range, and country-by-country reciprocal rates matched to what each partner charged.
On February 20, 2026 the Supreme Court held 6-3 in Learning Resources v. Trump that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act does not authorize tariffs, because the taxing power belongs to Congress. Importers who had already paid became entitled to refunds estimated at around $175 billion. The tariffs themselves did not go away. Within hours the White House re-imposed a 10% global tariff under Section 122 of the Trade Act, and when that expired on July 24, 2026 it was replaced under Section 301.
The baseline survived every one of those legal swaps and stands at 10% today, with 12.5% for a 46-economy list. The average effective rate is 8.9%, down from a 16.5% peak but the highest since the 1970s. What did not survive is the reciprocal architecture itself, the country-by-country matching of foreign rates that gave the promise its name. He delivered the tariff wall and lost the mechanism.
SourcesLearning Resources, Inc. v. Trump: slip opinionTax Foundation tariff tracker: current rates and effective averageGlobal Trade Alert: from IEEPA to Section 122, what changed on Feb. 20, 2026White & Case: U.S. terminates IEEPA tariffs
- Watered Down
Trade
Put a 60% tariff on Chinese goods
What he said
“Maybe it's going to be more than that.”
CRFB: Trump's promised 60% tariff on Chinese imports (2024 campaign)
CNBC: Trump floats "more than" 60% tariffs on Chinese imports, Sunday Morning Futures (Feb. 4, 2024)
Bloomberg: Trump floats a Chinese goods tariff of more than 60% if elected (Feb. 4, 2024)
What has happened · as of August 2026
Rates on China reached 145% during the spring 2025 escalation, well past the promised 60%, then fell to 30% under the truce negotiated in Geneva and announced on May 12, 2025. After the Supreme Court voided the emergency-powers tariffs, the administration rebuilt the same rates out of older trade laws, Section 301 and Section 232. China's average effective rate now sits near 31.6%, roughly half the promised level, though individual goods such as Chinese steel can carry 10% baseline plus 25% Section 301 plus 50% Section 232.
SourcesTax Foundation tariff tracker: rates by country and authorityPolitiFact: 145% rate, then Supreme Court restriction
- Not Delivered
Trade
Foreign countries, not American consumers, will pay for the tariffs
What he said
“It's not going to be a cost to you, it's a cost to another country.”
FactCheck.org: "It's not going to be a cost to you. It's going to be a cost to another country" (Sept. 2024)
FactCheck.org: Trump's agenda on tariffs, and his repeated claim that foreign countries pay them (Nov. 2024)
What has happened · as of August 2026
A tariff is collected at the border from the American company importing the goods, not from the foreign company selling them, and the money goes to the U.S. Treasury. Whoever ultimately absorbs it, the check is written by an American business.
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York found that American consumers and businesses bore close to 90% of the 2025 tariffs, with foreign exporters absorbing about 6% over the first eight months of the year. A separate paper by Federal Reserve and Columbia University economists put the American share at 94%. Fed researchers tracking shelf prices found close to dollar-for-dollar pass-through: when a tariff raised a retailer's cost by $1, the retail price rose by about $1 within seven months. Core goods prices ran roughly 3.1% higher as a result, and the Tax Foundation put the 2025 cost at about $1,000 per household.
The administration has publicly disputed the New York Fed's analysis. On the specific claim graded here, that foreign countries and not American consumers would pay, the available measurements point the other way.
SourcesCBS News: New York Fed finds U.S. consumers and businesses paid nearly 90% of 2025 tariffsFortune: Federal Reserve researchers find close to full pass-through to consumersRetail Dive: U.S. companies and consumers bear 90% of tariff costsPIIE: Who is paying for Trump's tariffs?CBP tariff collections
- In Progress
Trade
Bring manufacturing jobs back to America
What he said
“Under my leadership, we're going to take other countries' jobs.”
CBS News: Savannah economic speech on a "manufacturing renaissance" (Sept. 24, 2024)
NPR: the Savannah economic speech on taking other countries' jobs (Sept. 24, 2024)
What has happened · as of August 2026
Chipmakers, drugmakers, and steel producers announced large new U.S. plants, and the promised 15% corporate tax rate for companies that make their products in the United States was enacted, along with full write-offs for new equipment. Manufacturing payroll employment has been roughly flat since inauguration; the announced facilities carry multi-year construction timelines.
SourcesWashington Examiner: the 15% corporate rate for domestic manufacturersBLS manufacturing employment
Energy
4- Promise Kept
Energy
Drill, baby, drill: unleash American energy production
What he said
“We will drill, baby, drill.”
2024 Republican Party Platform: "We will DRILL, BABY, DRILL and we will become Energy Independent" (July 2024)
The Inaugural Address: "drill, baby, drill" (Jan. 20, 2025)
What has happened · as of August 2026
Federal leasing, permitting, and liquefied natural gas export approvals were reopened on January 20, 2025, his first day in office.
The output followed. U.S. crude oil production averaged a record 13.6 million barrels a day in 2025, breaking the 13.2 million record set in 2024, which was itself the highest any country had ever produced. American output ran about 40% ahead of Russia and Saudi Arabia, the next two largest producers. The Energy Information Administration expects roughly 13.5 million a day in 2026 and 14.2 million by 2027.
The promise to halve energy prices was a separate pledge and it did not land. It is graded on its own card.
SourcesEIA: U.S. crude oil production rose in 2025, setting a new recordEIA: the United States produced more crude oil than any other country in 2025
- Not Delivered
Energy
Cut energy and electricity prices in half within 12 months
What he said
“If you vote for me, I will cut your energy and electricity prices in half within 12 months.”
Newsweek: the pledge to halve energy prices, repeated upwards of a dozen times on the trail (Sept. 2024)
Scripps News: he promised to drill, and Americans' energy costs went up (2024 campaign)
What has happened · as of August 2026
Energy prices did not fall by half. They rose. Since inauguration gasoline is up 34%, fuel oil 24%, natural gas 12%, and electricity 8%. Household utility bills have been climbing rather than dropping.
Oil itself did fall, roughly 20% across 2025, but the cause was OPEC, the cartel of oil-exporting countries, raising output into an oversupplied world market. That is not American drilling, and it did not reach household bills. When crude dropped below what it costs to pull a barrel out of the ground, U.S. drilling slowed. The 2026 war with Iran took crude back up and the pump followed it.
President Trump attached a number and a deadline to this one, in Michigan in August 2024 and again in Pennsylvania that September, and Newsweek counted it upwards of a dozen times on the trail. Twelve months came and went. Not Delivered.
SourcesEIA energy prices and production dataBLS Consumer Price Index Summary
- Promise Kept
Energy
End the electric vehicle mandate
What he said
“I will END the Electric Vehicle Mandate on Day One.”
"I will END the Electric Vehicle Mandate on Day One" (RNC address) (July 18, 2024)
2024 Republican Party Platform, promise 15: "CANCEL THE ELECTRIC VEHICLE MANDATE AND CUT COSTLY REGULATIONS" (July 2024)
What has happened · as of August 2026
President Trump ordered the rollback on January 20, 2025, his first day in office, but the regulation itself took longer. The Environmental Protection Agency proposed repealing the tailpipe rules in July 2025, and the repeal was published in the Federal Register on February 18, 2026, stripping out the greenhouse gas standards for new light-, medium-, and heavy-duty vehicles.
The purchase subsidies went faster. The 2025 budget law ended the $7,500 credit for a new electric vehicle and the $4,000 used-car credit on September 30, 2025. The waiver authority that let California set its own rules requiring electric sales was revoked as well.
One caveat on timing: the mandate was promised gone on day one and the rule was not actually off the books for another thirteen months.
SourcesIRS: clean vehicle tax credits and their terminationCoastal Review: EPA eliminates emission standards for new vehiclesEPA regulatory actions
- Promise Kept
Energy
Withdraw from the Paris climate agreement
What he said
“I'm immediately withdrawing from the unfair, one-sided Paris climate accord rip-off.”
CNN: what Trump promised to do in a second term (2024 campaign)
E&E News / POLITICO: the campaign said in July 2024 he would withdraw from the Paris accord a second time (July 2024)
What has happened · as of August 2026
Signed on January 20, 2025, his first day in office, as Executive Order 14162, for the second time, with the United Nations ambassador directed to file formal notice immediately and climate finance commitments rescinded. The United States now sits outside the agreement alongside Iran, Libya, and Yemen.
SourcesExecutive Order 14162, Putting America First in International Environmental AgreementsCRS: U.S. withdrawal from the Paris Agreement, process and effects
Government Reform
4- Watered Down
Government Reform
Create a government efficiency commission and drastically cut waste and the federal bureaucracy
What he said
“I will create a government efficiency commission tasked with conducting a complete financial and performance audit of the entire federal government and making recommendations for drastic reforms.”
Government Executive: Trump vows to establish an efficiency commission with Elon Musk at the helm (Sept. 5, 2024)
NPR: Trump taps Musk to lead a Department of Government Efficiency (Nov. 12, 2024)
NPR: the $2 trillion target, and whose number it was (Oct. 27, 2024)
What has happened · as of August 2026
He promised the commission and he promised drastic reform. The $2 trillion savings figure attached to this promise in most coverage was Elon Musk's, floated at the Madison Square Garden rally days before the election; Musk himself later called it a best case and revised the goal to $1 trillion before departing. Trump never used the figure himself.
The commission was created immediately as the Department of Government Efficiency, and the bureaucracy did contract. The federal civilian workforce fell by roughly 300,000 people during 2025, about one in eight of it, through deferred resignations, layoffs, and a hiring freeze. USAID was dismantled outright rather than trimmed, and the Department of Education lost about half its staff. On the half of the promise that concerns the size of the federal workforce and the number of agencies doing the work, he delivered something close to what he described.
On money he did not. DOGE's own dashboard claimed roughly $215 billion in savings, a figure independent analysts disputed, and total federal outlays did not fall. The entity stopped operating as a centralized organization in November 2025 and reached its mandated expiration on July 4, 2026 without publishing a closing report.
The bureaucracy shrank considerably more than the spending did, and it was the spending that the promise of drastic reform was understood to be about.
SourcesDOGE: formation, claimed savings, and July 2026 shutdownCBO Monthly Budget ReviewOPM: federal workforce data
- Promise Kept
Government Reform
Restore Schedule F and remove entrenched bureaucrats
What he said
“First, I will immediately re-issue my 2020 Executive Order restoring the President's authority to remove rogue bureaucrats.”
Agenda47: Plan to Dismantle the Deep State (item one: re-issue Schedule F) (2023 campaign)
NBC News: dismantling the "deep state" as a central plank of the 2024 bid, with Schedule F as point one (2023-2024 campaign)
What has happened · as of August 2026
Schedule F is a job classification, created by executive order in October 2020 and revoked by the Biden administration three months later. It moves career federal employees whose work is judged policy-influencing out of the competitive civil service, stripping the removal protections and appeal rights those positions normally carry and making the jobs effectively at-will. Estimates of how many positions it can reach run from tens of thousands upward. Its supporters call it the tool for firing unaccountable bureaucrats; its opponents call it the return of the spoils system.
The 2020 order was re-issued and finalized as Schedule Policy/Career, and agencies began using it. Federal employee unions have challenged it in court, and the rule remains in force while that litigation proceeds. He said he would re-issue the order on day one and he did.
SourcesFinal rule: Improving Performance, Accountability and Responsiveness in the Civil Service (91 FR, Feb. 6, 2026)OPM: Schedule Policy/Career hiring authority
- Watered Down
Government Reform
Close the Department of Education and send education back to the states
What he said
“One thing I'll be doing very early in the administration is closing up the Department of Education in Washington, D.C., and sending all education and education work it needs back to the states.”
Video: "closing up the Department of Education" and sending it back to the states (Sept. 2023 campaign video)
What has happened · as of August 2026
Roughly half the department's staff were laid off, and student loan servicing and several other programs were handed to other agencies. Lower courts ordered the staff reinstated, but the Supreme Court cleared the way for the layoffs 6-3 in McMahon v. New York in July 2025, with the underlying case still live. Abolishing the department requires an act of Congress; no such bill has passed, and it continues to operate, retaining Title I funding, Pell grants, and disability programs.
SourcesCNBC: executive order to dismantle the Department of EducationSCOTUSblog: Court clears the way to shrink the Education DepartmentED press releases
- Blocked
Government Reform
Secure elections with voter ID, paper ballots, and proof of citizenship
What he said
“I will once and for all secure our elections. We're going to go to paper ballots. We're going to have same-day voting, voter ID.”
CNN fact check: what Trump keeps saying about paper ballots, same-day voting, and voter ID (Oct. 2024)
2024 Republican Party Platform, promise 19: "SECURE OUR ELECTIONS, INCLUDING SAME DAY VOTING, VOTER ID" (July 2024)
Poynter: pressing governors on proof of citizenship, voter ID, and paper ballots (2025)
What has happened · as of August 2026
President Trump signed an elections executive order on March 25, 2025 and a second one, Executive Order 14399, on March 31, 2026. Together they ordered documentary proof of citizenship for federal voter registration, tighter mail ballot deadlines, and federal pressure on states that did not comply.
The courts took the center of it apart. Judge Denise Casper ruled that the proof-of-citizenship requirement exceeded presidential authority and violated the separation of powers, because setting election rules belongs to Congress and the states, and she made that permanent in June 2026. Two other federal judges blocked it as well, one of them ruling for nineteen states that had sued.
Not all of it fell. The Supreme Court allowed parts of the mail-in voting order to take effect 6-3 ahead of the November midterms, letting Homeland Security build a federal citizenship list to share with states and letting the Attorney General prioritize prosecutions of state election officials.
President Trump acted, and acted twice. The signature piece was struck down, which is why this is Blocked rather than Not Delivered. Voter ID and paper ballots are set by states, and no president can order them into place.
SourcesWhite House: Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal ElectionsPBS: federal judge bars the proof of citizenship requirementABC News: judge permanently blocks the proof of citizenship orderABC News: Supreme Court allows parts of the mail-in voting order
Foreign Policy & Defense
7- Not Delivered
Foreign Policy & Defense
End the war in Ukraine within 24 hours of taking office
What he said
“I'll have that war settled in one day, 24 hours.”
CNN fact check: 53 times he made the 24-hour pledge (2023-2024)
NBC News: Trump vowed to end the Ukraine war in 24 hours (2023-2024 campaign)
What has happened · as of August 2026
The war did not end in 24 hours, and it has not ended. A revised twenty-point peace plan was discussed in December 2025, and a three-day ceasefire announced in May 2026 collapsed within days, with each side blaming the other. Talks remain stuck on Donetsk, roughly three-quarters of which Russia holds, and on security guarantees. He later called the pledge "sarcastic" and "an exaggeration." A database of his public remarks records at least 53 occasions on which he made it in earnest.
SourcesCFR: War in Ukraine conflict trackerState Department briefings
- In Progress
Foreign Policy & Defense
Restore peace in the Middle East and bring the hostages home
What he said
“If the hostages are not released prior to January 20, 2025, the date that I proudly assume Office as President of the United States, there will be ALL HELL TO PAY in the Middle East.”
Axios: Trump warns of "HELL TO PAY" if the Gaza hostages are not released before inauguration (Dec. 2, 2024)
What has happened · as of August 2026
The hostages are the 251 people taken from Israel by Hamas during the October 7, 2023 attack, roughly a hundred of whom were still held in Gaza when he was elected. Peace in the Middle East is the broader half of the pledge and comes from the party platform.
A ceasefire was agreed on January 15, 2025, five days before he took office. It was built in three stages: first an exchange of hostages for Palestinian prisoners, then a wider Israeli withdrawal and further releases, then reconstruction. The first stage brought 33 Israeli hostages home.
A broader deal followed in late 2025. Every living hostage was released and Trump signed a peace agreement alongside other leaders. On the hostages, the promise was kept outright.
What is not settled is who governs Gaza now and whether the terms survive contact with that question. Peace in the region is the larger half of the pledge, and it is still being negotiated.
SourcesCouncil on Foreign Relations: guide to the twenty-point Gaza peace dealNPR: Israel and Hamas agree to a Gaza ceasefireAxios: the White House launches phase two of the ceasefireWhite House briefings
- Not Delivered
Foreign Policy & Defense
Start no new wars and end the era of endless foreign intervention
What he said
“I will keep us out of new wars. I'm the only president in generations who didn't start one.”
CNN fact check: he promised it repeatedly (2024 campaign)
2024 Republican Party Platform, promise 8: "PREVENT WORLD WAR THREE" (July 2024)
What has happened · as of August 2026
The United States struck Iran's nuclear sites in June 2025, then fought a 40-day war alongside Israel from February 28 to April 8, 2026, opening with a strike that killed Iran's supreme leader. That ceasefire crumbled in July 2026 and strikes resumed. Military action was also ordered in Yemen, Syria, Somalia, Nigeria, and Venezuela. None was authorized by Congress. In a June 2026 NBC interview the President said he had never guaranteed no new wars and that as a candidate he "didn't promise anything," a claim contradicted by the campaign record.
SourcesBritannica: 2026 Iran warCNN: US-Iran ceasefire crumbles as fresh strikes hit the regionNPR: Trump on Iran and the no-new-wars pledge
- In Progress
Foreign Policy & Defense
Iran will never be allowed to have a nuclear weapon
What he said
“Iran can't have a nuclear weapon.”
Washington Examiner: Iran and the nuclear pledge as a fixture of the 2024 stump speech (2024 campaign)
C-SPAN: "Iran will never have a nuclear weapon" (restated in office) (White House remarks)
Times of Israel: Trump plans to renew the maximum pressure strategy (Nov. 8, 2024)
What has happened · as of August 2026
Maximum pressure sanctions were reimposed by memorandum on February 4, 2025, with the stated aim of driving Iranian oil exports to zero and reaching the shipping, insurance, and port operators handling that trade. That was the means. The end he promised was that Iran would never hold a weapon.
Iran held 440.9 kg of uranium enriched to 60% when B-2s struck Fordow, Natanz, and Esfahan on June 21, 2025. Iran then stopped cooperating, and inspectors from the International Atomic Energy Agency lost track of where much of that uranium went. The Cairo Agreement restored inspection procedures in September 2025; Iran terminated it that November. A second joint campaign with Israel ran from February 28 to a Pakistan-brokered ceasefire on April 8, 2026, and a June memorandum set a 60-day negotiating framework. Limited inspections have resumed at some sites, but the IAEA still cannot access the enrichment facilities and cannot account for the stockpile. The President has said Iran is denuclearized and also that Iran "can change their mind." Absent verification, the promise is not closed.
SourcesISIS: analysis of IAEA Iran verification and safeguards reports, June 2026House of Commons Library: US-Iran ceasefire and nuclear talks in 2026NPR: dispute widens over Iran nuclear inspectionsNSPM-2, Imposing Maximum Pressure on the Government of Iran
- Promise Kept
Foreign Policy & Defense
Designate the drug cartels as foreign terrorist organizations and treat them like ISIS
What he said
“When I am President, it will be the policy of the United States to take down the cartels just as we took down ISIS and the ISIS caliphate.”
PolitiFact: the promise to designate cartels as terrorist organizations (2023 campaign)
Agenda47: "President Donald J. Trump Declares War on Cartels" (2023 campaign)
What has happened · as of August 2026
A day-one executive order directed the designations, and on February 20, 2025 the State Department designated eight groups (six Mexican cartels, Tren de Aragua, and MS-13), unlocking sanctions and authorities since used against trafficking networks.
SourcesPBS: eight Latin American cartels designated as foreign terrorist organizationsAS/COA: which cartels and groups were designatedState Dept. FTO list
- Promise Kept
Foreign Policy & Defense
Make NATO allies pay their fair share
What he said
“You don't pay your bills, you get no protection. It's very simple.”
ABC News: Trump's repeated claims about NATO members and defense spending (Feb. 2024)
PIIE: Trump's five percent doctrine and NATO defense spending (2024-2025)
What has happened · as of August 2026
During the campaign Trump wanted allies spending at least 3% of their national income on defense. After the election he raised the number to 5%.
Trump got the 5%. At the NATO summit in The Hague on June 25, 2025 the alliance agreed to reach 5% by 2035. Every member signed except Spain, which was granted an exemption. That is more than he asked for as a candidate.
Two things cut against it. The deadline is 2035, a decade away and long after he leaves office. And the 5% is split: at least 3.5% has to be actual military spending, while the remaining 1.5% can be things like roads, cyber defenses, and factories. Counted the strict way, the commitment is 3.5%, not 5%.
SourcesThe Hague Summit Declaration, NATO official textCRS: NATO's June 2025 summit in The Hague
- Promise Kept
Foreign Policy & Defense
Withdraw the United States from the World Health Organization
What he said
“I will again withdraw from the WHO, which stands for We Hide Outbreaks.”
C-SPAN: Trump at CPAC, "I will again withdraw from the WHO, which stands for We Hide Outbreaks" (March 4, 2023)
CBS News: leaving the WHO among the promises he ran on (2024 campaign)
What has happened · as of August 2026
President Trump signed Executive Order 14155 on January 20, 2025, his first day in office, starting the one-year notice the WHO constitution requires. The United States formally left on January 22, 2026, ending its membership, its seat in the organization's governance, and its funding contributions.
That was the second time he ordered it. The first attempt, in 2020, was reversed by the Biden administration before it took effect. This one ran the full clock and completed.
SourcesHHS: fact sheet on the U.S. withdrawal from the World Health OrganizationNPR: the U.S. begins the process of leaving the WHOLawfare: the withdrawal orders from international organizations and treaties
Culture & Rule of Law
5- Promise Kept
Culture & Rule of Law
Pardon the January 6 defendants
What he said
“My first acts as your next President will be to Close the Border, DRILL, BABY, DRILL, and Free the January 6 Hostages being wrongfully imprisoned!”
ABC News: Trump promises to free Jan. 6 defendants on day one (2024 campaign)
Washington Post: making January 6 a cornerstone of the 2024 campaign, including the pardon pledge (Mar. 19, 2024)
NBC News: Trump says again he would "absolutely" pardon Jan. 6 rioters (2024 campaign)
NPR: a review of posts, speeches and interviews found he promised Jan. 6 pardons more than a dozen times (Jan. 4, 2024)
What has happened · as of August 2026
Proclamation 10887, signed on the first day of the term, commuted the sentences of fourteen named individuals to time served and granted full, complete, and unconditional pardons to every other person convicted in connection with January 6, roughly 1,500 in all. That is broader than the campaign's suggestion that violent cases might be excluded.
SourcesFederal Register: Proclamation granting pardons and commutations for January 6 offensesJustice Department: text of the clemency proclamationLawfare: Trump pardons or commutes the terms of all January 6 rioters
- Promise Kept
Culture & Rule of Law
Keep men out of women's sports
What he said
“We will of course keep men out of women's sports.”
Fox News: Trump vows to keep men out of women's sports at Salem, VA rally (Nov. 2, 2024)
Washington Post video: "We will of course keep men out of women's sports" (Nov. 3, 2024)
2024 Republican Party Platform, promise 17: "KEEP MEN OUT OF WOMEN'S SPORTS" (July 2024)
What has happened · as of August 2026
An executive order titled "Keeping Men Out of Women's Sports" directed Title IX enforcement against schools allowing male athletes in women's competition, and governing bodies changed their eligibility rules in response. On June 30, 2026 the Supreme Court upheld the Idaho and West Virginia bans, ruling unanimously that they do not violate federal civil rights law and dividing 6-3 on the constitutional question, with Justice Kavanaugh writing that the Constitution and Title IX do not require an overhaul of women's sports.
SourcesChristian Post: the Salem, VA rally pledge, Nov. 2, 2024SCOTUSblog: states may exclude transgender athletes from girls' and women's teamsPresidential Actions
- Watered Down
Culture & Rule of Law
Recognize only two sexes in federal policy and end federal support for gender transition, including for minors
What he said
“Cease all programs that promote the concept of sex and gender transition at any age.”
Agenda47: "President Trump's Plan to Protect Children from Left-Wing Gender Insanity" (2023 campaign)
Forbes: what Agenda47 committed him to before inauguration (Jan. 2025)
CNN: the inaugural address line on two genders (Jan. 20, 2025)
What has happened · as of August 2026
Agenda 47 committed him to two things that travel together: declaring male and female the only sexes the federal government recognizes, and pulling federal money out of gender transition care. He acted on both in his first eight days.
The declaration came in the inaugural address and the order was signed the same day. It directs every agency to recognize two sexes, bars gender identity as a basis for federal categorisation, freezes funding for what the order calls gender ideology, and rescinds the Biden-era guidance treating gender as distinct from sex. A February 5, 2025 order applied it to women's sports. A January 28, 2025 order declared that the federal government would not fund, sponsor, promote, or support transition for anyone under 19, reaching puberty blockers, hormone therapy, surgery, and grants to hospitals and medical schools that provide them.
The declaration stands and agencies are operating under it. The Supreme Court let the military service ban take effect by staying the injunction against it. Several specific applications were stopped: in February 2025 a district court barred agencies from withholding federal money because a provider treats patients under 19, in June 2025 a court ordered the State Department back to its previous passport policy including the X marker, and a separate order blocked moving transgender women into men's federal prisons.
He declared the policy exactly as promised and signed the orders on the timeline he promised. It is not being applied everywhere it was written to apply, which is why this is Watered Down rather than Kept.
SourcesWhite House: Defending Women From Gender Ideology ExtremismHolland & Knight: how the order is being applied across agenciesLambda Legal: federal judge blocks the order on care for minorsACLU: Orr v. Trump, the passport marker case
- Not Delivered
Culture & Rule of Law
Make IVF free, paid for by the government or mandated insurance coverage
What he said
“Under the Trump administration your government will pay for, or your insurance company will be mandated to pay for, all costs associated with IVF treatment.”
NBC News: Trump says he wants IVF paid for by the government or mandated insurance coverage (Aug. 29, 2024)
CBS News: the IVF pledge, and Americans still waiting on it (2024 campaign)
What has happened · as of August 2026
The executive order that followed directs agencies to produce policy recommendations for protecting access and reducing out-of-pocket costs. It does not make in vitro fertilization free, mandates nothing of insurers, and appropriates no money. Congressional Republicans rejected a proposal to extend coverage to servicemembers. Costs to patients are essentially unchanged.
SourcesKFF: will the announcement expand access to IVF?CNN: Trump promised no-cost IVF for all, and it is still a long way off
- Promise Kept
Culture & Rule of Law
Ban federal agencies from colluding to censor lawful speech
What he said
“I will sign an executive order banning any federal department or agency from colluding with any organization, business, or person, to censor, limit, categorize, or impede the lawful speech of American citizens.”
Agenda47: "President Donald J. Trump, Free Speech Policy Initiative" (2023 campaign)
American Presidency Project: Executive Order 14149, the text of what he signed (Jan. 20, 2025)
What has happened · as of August 2026
President Trump signed it hours after the inaugural address, on January 20, 2025. Executive Order 14149 bars federal employees from acting to limit lawful speech, prohibits taxpayer money being used to do it, and directs the Attorney General to investigate the previous four years of federal contacts with platforms.
The order names what it is reversing: pressure applied to social media companies over COVID-19 claims and over the Hunter Biden laptop story. Several platforms have since dropped or narrowed their fact-checking programs, Meta among them.
The order is Kept on the plainest reading. What it cannot do is bind private companies, which remain free to moderate as they choose, so the promise reaches government conduct rather than speech online generally.
SourcesBallotpedia: Restoring Freedom of Speech and Ending Federal CensorshipFirst Amendment Encyclopedia: what the order does and does not reachLawfare: analysis of the speech and censorship order
Method
How we grade
We only track promises he ran on. To make this list, a pledge has to be load-bearing: repeated on the trail, written into Agenda 47 or the platform, or made a standing rally line. Every politician says something careless into a microphone once. Grading those would be scoring points, not keeping score, so an offhand remark stays out even when the administration later did the opposite of it.
And we only track the core ones. Over two years of campaigning a candidate says “we're going to” hundreds of times. Cataloguing all of it tells you nothing. The question worth answering is narrower: what were the major things Donald Trump told Americans he would do if they elected him, and did he do them? So a promise also has to be one a reasonably engaged voter in November 2024 would have recognised as part of what they were choosing. Real pledges that were nonetheless peripheral are left off, and the reasons are written down.
We grade the pledge as it was stated, not as it was later reframed. Executive orders count when they take effect, not when they are signed. Court injunctions are marked Blocked rather than Not Delivered, because the administration acted and someone else stopped it. A pledge delivered at half its promised size is Watered Down, and we say by how much.
We grade outcomes, not whether we think the policy was a good idea. Closing the border counts as kept whether or not a reader wanted it closed. By the same rule, promising to end a war or bring prices down and then trying is not the same as doing it. We do not grade on intent, effort, or press releases. If the number didn't move, the promise wasn't kept.